Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.082927 0.096186 0.110687 0.127696 0.147073 0.168431 0.193729
2025-01-05 0.062665 0.080168 0.101039 0.127649 0.160554 0.199779 0.249940
2025-01-12 0.047493 0.066331 0.090586 0.123853 0.168006 0.224269 0.301015
2025-01-19 0.037536 0.056730 0.083194 0.121905 0.176550 0.250297 0.356571
2025-01-26 0.032676 0.052922 0.082550 0.128360 0.196512 0.293048 0.438700
2025-02-02 0.028721 0.049557 0.081747 0.134070 0.215645 0.336252 0.525715
2025-02-09 0.023514 0.043192 0.075256 0.129969 0.219220 0.356697 0.581104
2025-02-16 0.019952 0.038841 0.071163 0.128826 0.226824 0.383446 0.648025
2025-02-23 0.016711 0.034422 0.066202 0.125373 0.229940 0.403002 0.704939
2025-03-02 0.014187 0.030844 0.062113 0.122723 0.233828 0.423780 0.765233
2025-03-09 0.012587 0.028759 0.060394 0.123999 0.244509 0.456632 0.848235
2025-03-16 0.010678 0.025684 0.056312 0.120238 0.245486 0.472536 0.903078
2025-03-23 0.009930 0.025004 0.056949 0.125858 0.264892 0.523473 1.025329
2025-03-30 0.008878 0.023451 0.055570 0.127257 0.276336 0.560975 1.126652
2025-04-06 0.007614 0.021157 0.052256 0.124179 0.278511 0.581263 1.197755
2025-04-13 0.006643 0.019379 0.049800 0.122578 0.283441 0.607151 1.281526
2025-04-20 0.006324 0.019212 0.051015 0.129249 0.306423 0.670437 1.442959
2025-04-27 0.005976 0.018899 0.051830 0.135091 0.328179 0.733002 1.607727
2025-05-04 0.005139 0.017053 0.048604 0.131009 0.327550 0.749538 1.680788
2025-05-11 0.004556 0.015815 0.046714 0.129880 0.333417 0.780053 1.784836
2025-05-18 0.003948 0.014367 0.044037 0.126412 0.333426 0.797930 1.863601
2025-05-25 0.003453 0.013156 0.041800 0.123748 0.335004 0.819251 1.951203
2025-06-01 0.003157 0.012531 0.041104 0.125037 0.346304 0.863054 2.090851